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PV power forecasting toolkit for smart grid-management

 

 

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PN-III-P2-2-1-PED-2016-0592

Title: PV power forecasting toolkit for smart grid-management

Acronym: FORPV

Project duration: January 2017- July 2018

Funding: Romanian National Authority for Scientific Research and Innovation, CNCS/CCCDI – UEFISCDI

 

Abstract

The main objective of the project is to build an innovative toolkit (FORPV) for forecasting the energy production of a photovoltaic (PV) plant in the time domain of a few minutes up to one day ahead. The forecasts provided by FORPV must meet two key requirements: (1) to be of high quality and (2) to be effectively structured (as lead times, frequency) in compliance with the needs of the PV plants and grid operators. The eight sets of European regulations for the operators of the transport grids launched in 2016 will be considered.

FORPV consists of two distinctive physical parts: (1) The computational unit, where the forecasting applications developed within this project are implemented and which real-time controls the forecasting process; (2) The PV plant monitoring unit which provides radiometric and meteorological data measured in-situ, required for running the forecasting applications. The forecasting toolkit FORPV is planned to be developed at the trial product stage (the “ugly” prototype in terms of TRL) and validated on the Solar Platform of the West University of Timisoara. The proof of the concept is ensured by the recent results of our team obtained in various domains related to the forecasting of the PV energy production, e.g. correlation of solar irradiance with sunshine quantifiers, new models for nowcasting solar irradiance, new procedures for describing the PV systems operation in outdoor conditions.

The impact of the project outcomes can be evaluated on minim four levels: (1) scientific (improving the forecasting accuracy); (2) economical (notable contribution to ensuring the grid stability, accurate forecasts will enable the computers to take control actions for balancing the power grid); (3) technical (new forecasting tool); (4) practical (the project timely comes to meet the needs of the PV plants owners and transport grid operators, as well as the management of PV power generated inside the distribution grids).

 

 

 

Last update 21.06.2017