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PN-III-P2-2-1-PED-2016-0592
Title: PV
power forecasting toolkit for smart grid-management
Acronym:
FORPV
Project
duration: January 2017- July 2018
Funding: Romanian
National Authority for Scientific Research and Innovation, CNCS/CCCDI –
UEFISCDI
Abstract
The main objective of the project is to build an innovative
toolkit (FORPV) for forecasting the energy production of a photovoltaic (PV)
plant in the time domain of a few minutes up to one day ahead. The
forecasts provided by FORPV must meet two key requirements: (1) to be of
high quality and (2) to be effectively structured (as lead times,
frequency) in compliance with the needs of the PV plants and grid
operators. The eight sets of European regulations for the operators of the
transport grids launched in 2016 will be considered.
FORPV consists of two distinctive physical parts: (1) The
computational unit, where the forecasting applications developed within
this project are implemented and which real-time controls the forecasting
process; (2) The PV plant monitoring unit which provides radiometric and
meteorological data measured in-situ, required for running the forecasting
applications. The forecasting toolkit FORPV is planned to be developed at
the trial product stage (the “ugly” prototype in terms of TRL) and
validated on the Solar Platform of the West University of Timisoara. The
proof of the concept is ensured by the recent results of our team obtained
in various domains related to the forecasting of the PV energy production,
e.g. correlation of solar irradiance with sunshine quantifiers, new models
for nowcasting solar irradiance, new procedures for describing the PV
systems operation in outdoor conditions.
The impact of the project outcomes can be evaluated on minim
four levels: (1) scientific (improving the forecasting accuracy); (2)
economical (notable contribution to ensuring the grid stability, accurate forecasts
will enable the computers to take control actions for balancing the power
grid); (3) technical (new forecasting tool); (4) practical (the project
timely comes to meet the needs of the PV plants owners and transport grid
operators, as well as the management of PV power generated inside the
distribution grids).
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